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Friday, November 6, 2015

G. Michael Graham Football Predictions for 5A

PHOTO: Allen Ramsey, The Bluebirds enter the playoffs seeking their ninth straight championship game appearance. They've won seven state championships in the last eight seasons. writer, G. Michael Graham takes a look at the 5A playoffs. We looks at each game in the first round and every likely matchup throughout the playoff bracket.

We have given each game a "confidence" score. A score of 10, means we are absolutely sure it'll happen to a 1, which means we aren't feeling great about the prediction.

Without further adieu:

Class 5A Predictions:

Region 3 First Round:
Highlands over Woodford County.
Bluebirds have won 23 straight first-round contests.
Confidence score: 10

Montgomery County over Dixie Heights.
Alex Harvey, a 1,202-yard rusher, could have a big night for the Indians.
Confidence score: 9

Madison Southern over Grant County.
Eagles exit tough district with Pulaski County and win surprising first-ever district championship.
Confidence Score : 9

Covington Catholic over Anderson County.
Colonels find way to win close one over Bearcats at Dixie Heights.
Confidence score: 6

Region 3 Semifinals:
Highlands over Montgomery County.
Bluebirds contain Harvey and company.
Confidence score: 7

Covington Catholic over Madison Southern.
Colonels go on road again and record close second round victory.
Confidence score: 6

Region 3 Title Game:
Highlands over Covington Catholic.
Bluebirds always pick things up against Colonels and this will be no different.
Confidence Score: 7

Region 4 First Round:
Pulaski County over Letcher County Central.
Veteran Head Coach John Hines and staff won't let defending 5A state champs overlook the visitors from the mountains.
Confidence score: 9

Harlan County over Lincoln County.
It's tough to leave Harlan with a victory in the playoffs.
Confidence score: 5

Southwestern over Whitley County.
Warriors right ship in first round of playoffs.
Confidence score: 6

North Laurel over South Laurel.
Battle of London heavily favors rising Jaguars.
Confidence score: 8

Region 4 Semifinals:
Pulaski County over Harlan County.
Maroons should be too much for Black Bears.
Confidence score: 9

Southwestern over North Laurel.
Edge in tight game goes to team with tougher schedule.
Confidence score: 6

Region 4 Title Game:
Pulaski County over Southwestern.
Albeit a lot closer than regular season, Maroons still get it done.
Confidence score: 6

Region 1 First Round:
Owensboro over Grayson County.
Confidence score: 9

Greenwood over Graves County.
Confidence score: 8

Christian County over Barren County.
Confidence score: 8

Bowling Green over Owensboro Apollo.
Confidence score: 9

Region 1 Semifinals:
Owensboro over Greenwood.
Red Devils are determined to get back to state championship in higher class.
Confidence score: 7

Bowling Green over Christian County.
Colonels may give Purples fits, but not enough to pull the shocker.
Confidence score: 6

Region 1 Title Game:
Owensboro over Bowling Green.
Red Devils win rematch at home and avenge lone loss of regular season.
Confidence score: 4

Region 2 First Round:
South Oldham over Louisville Southern.
Confidence score: 9

Louisville Fairdale over Bullitt East.
Confidence score: 6

North Bullitt over Louisville Doss.
Confidence score: 7

Louisville Fern Creek over Bullitt Central.
Confidence score: 8

Region 2 Semifinals:
South Oldham over Fairdale.
Confidence score: 7

North Bullitt over Fern Creek.
Confidence score: 5

Region 2 Title Game:
South Oldham over North Bullitt.
A lot of unknowns in this region.
Confidence score: 3

State Semifinals:
Pulaski County over Highlands.
Maroons have been more consistent than Bluebirds throughout season.
Confidence score: 3

Owensboro over South Oldham.
Red Devils do not need lucky bounce this time.
Confidence score: 4

Class 5A Championship Game:
Pulaski County over Owensboro.
Maroons use experience to win consecutive crowns.
Confidence score: 3

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